Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.177002 0.209857 0.246682 0.290954 0.342676 0.401126 0.472129
2025-06-22 0.128386 0.170489 0.222830 0.292426 0.382262 0.494014 0.643251
2025-06-29 0.098986 0.143219 0.202662 0.287860 0.406229 0.564164 0.790040
2025-07-06 0.079535 0.123631 0.186854 0.283261 0.425523 0.626465 0.930208
2025-07-13 0.069609 0.115084 0.183998 0.294774 0.466780 0.721642 1.125132
2025-07-20 0.063910 0.111600 0.187498 0.315286 0.522739 0.843173 1.371191
2025-07-27 0.057810 0.106220 0.186845 0.328525 0.568129 0.952561 1.609553
2025-08-03 0.050396 0.097251 0.178761 0.327970 0.590308 1.026633 1.798379
2025-08-10 0.042559 0.086154 0.165278 0.315971 0.591039 1.064620 1.930271
2025-08-17 0.035552 0.075400 0.150761 0.299881 0.582068 1.084249 2.031443
2025-08-24 0.031801 0.070365 0.146067 0.301129 0.604230 1.159864 2.237685
2025-08-31 0.027451 0.063378 0.136587 0.291797 0.605118 1.196589 2.376120
2025-09-07 0.025036 0.060336 0.135015 0.298900 0.640531 1.304532 2.665520
2025-09-14 0.022321 0.056202 0.130665 0.299894 0.664300 1.393663 2.930337
2025-09-21 0.019539 0.051391 0.124102 0.295170 0.675511 1.459043 3.154961
2025-09-28 0.017158 0.047090 0.117982 0.290456 0.685941 1.523568 3.384038
2025-10-05 0.016135 0.045996 0.119078 0.302244 0.733855 1.670588 3.798968
2025-10-12 0.015724 0.046422 0.123846 0.323247 0.804956 1.873909 4.353307
2025-10-19 0.014911 0.045613 0.125450 0.336802 0.860349 2.048389 4.861587
2025-10-26 0.013478 0.042811 0.121581 0.336234 0.882126 2.150138 5.218182
2025-11-02 0.011702 0.038669 0.113571 0.323949 0.873821 2.182424 5.420232
2025-11-09 0.009994 0.034383 0.104480 0.307474 0.852891 2.182897 5.548202
2025-11-16 0.009149 0.032608 0.102090 0.308752 0.877548 2.294257 5.949288